Showing posts with label john edwards. Show all posts
Showing posts with label john edwards. Show all posts

Saturday, November 15, 2008

Ten Chumps Who Helped Elect Barack Obama

The Huffington Post, 11-14-08



Barack Obama ran a great campaign. While shattering all fundraising records, he created a movement backed by small donors, not big lobbyists. Using community organizing techniques derided by his GOP opponents, he mobilized millions of supporters and gave them an ownership stake in his historic candidacy.

But he got some invaluable help along the way. With the post-election analysis season almost over, it's worth taking one final look at some of the characters who ensured President-elect Obama would make it to the White House.

This list is devoted to a special breed, seasoned political players and 15-minutes of famers alike, who did everything they could to stop Obama, only to see their efforts backfire. It's a bipartisan honor, evenly split between Democrats and Republicans. For obvious reasons, this list omits the folks with the most to gain from Obama's defeat, namely, John McCain and Sarah Palin, and Bill and Hillary Clinton. Although they also deserve special recognition for trying every boneheaded trick they could dream up.



Jeremiah Wright - The good Reverend's sin was enjoying his turn at the microphone too much. From the start, he was a nuisance and distraction. Wright got irritated with Obama after being asked not to deliver the invocation at his 2007 announcement speech in Springfield, IL, and made sure the press knew about it. Rev. Wrong for Obama should have disappeared after tapes of his most incendiary sermons aired on national TV last March. But by resurfacing barely a month after Obama's masterful speech on race in Philadelphia, Wright tried his best to sabotage the damage control. And by continuing to draw attention to his outrageous beliefs in the process of defending himself, he allowed Obama to repudiate him entirely.



Rick Davis and Steve Schmidt - Joint acclaim for the two strategists who were initially hailed by the press as turning around McCain's campaign. They undid all their own hard work by advising McCain to pick Sarah Palin, thus undercutting Schmidt's strategy of painting Obama as too inexperienced to lead. They urged McCain to ignore his gut instinct to choose either Sen. Joe Lieberman or former Gov. Tom Ridge of Pennsylvania. Together, their counsel trumped Mark Salter's preference of Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who would have been a formidable VP candidate. Pawlenty's only drawback was that he was sold to McCain as the safe pick, which left him out of step with McCain's need to gamble on a "maverick" choice.

Schmidt also deserves special props for convincing McCain to announce he was temporarily suspending his campaign and returning to Washington for what turned out to be bungled negotiations over the $700 billion financial bailout package. And Davis gets a shout out for signing off on TV spots attacking Obama over ties to former Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac advisors, shortly before it was revealed he had been earning $15,000 a month as a lobbyist on Freddie Mac's payroll for the past several years.



Mark Penn - Assigning honors to Hillary's strategists is tough, because collectively they ran a criminally dysfunctional campaign unequaled in modern politics. But Mark Penn was at the center of much of the infighting and tension that plagued her inner circle. According to Newsweek's behind-the-scenes account of the election, Penn was suspected of being less than honest with the campaign team about polling results that were unfavorable to Hillary, which helped Obama catch them unaware and unprepared with his Iowa caucus victory.



John Edwards and Mike Easley - This pair of North Carolina pols each contributed an assist through the self-serving ways they tried to play the endorsement game. Edwards withheld his endorsement for months, until it was clear Obama would beat Hillary and be the Democratic nominee. Thus Edwards made sure he would not be identified as an Obama team player, and limited damage to the Democrats' chances when Edwards' own career went up in smoke in August in his self-inflicted adultery scandal. Outgoing N.C. Governor Mike Easley endorsed Hillary a week before the state's May 6 primary. In doing so, the unpopular lame duck enraged Obama voters in North Carolina, particularly African-Americans, and solidified Obama's support.

Joe The Plumber - By basking in his moment in the spotlight, and running his mouth about his far-right wing nutty beliefs, he was immediately discredited as a spokesperson for average working stiffs. The unlicensed plumber whose name wasn't even Joe and whose income level would qualify him for a tax cut under Obama's tax plans made a mockery of McCain's last-minute campaign gambit to frighten voters with the spectre of higher taxes.



Sheldon Adelson - The wealthy casino mogul behind the right wing 527 group Freedom's Watch was suspected of being the Republican sugar daddy who anonymously funded the Clarion Fund, which dumped 28 million anti-Islamic scare DVDs in swing states around the country through mailings and paid advertising supplements in newspapers. Adelson and similar fat cats who bankrolled GOP-leaning PAC's wasted lots of money producing an avalanche of hate propaganda - mailers, robocalls, even DVDs. But this campaign tactic has lost much of its effectiveness in a world where people have access to multiple sources of information on the internet, instead of being limited to what they see on TV, read in their newspapers, or find in their mailboxes. Should have spent their cash on registering new Republican voters at conservative churches, state fairs, and NASCAR races.



Geraldine Ferraro - The most prominent member of the Nobama Democrats, she gave credibility to the divisive, time-wasting efforts of pro-Hillary deadenders who clung to PUMA, Just Say No Deal, and other faux-grassroots groups after Obama clinched the nomination. Ferraro was forced to step down from her official role with the Clinton campaign in March after claiming, "If Obama was a white man, he would not be in this position," similar to comments she made in 1988 about an earlier black presidential contender ("If Jesse Jackson were not black, he wouldn't be in the race"). She reared her head again in May, quoted by the New York Times as saying she might not vote for Obama in the fall, because "I think Obama was terribly sexist."

Yet by refusing to cede her role as a Hillary surrogate, and tirelessly fanning the fames of party disunity, she helped keep media attention on the myth that there were legions of disaffected Hillary voters whose allegiance was available for harvest by any candidate in a pantsuit. Without Ferraro's efforts to keep the gender pot stirring, Sarah Palin might not have presented such a tempting opportunity for Team McCain to make a play for women voters.



Ashley Todd - It didn't get any uglier than this. Dishonorable mention goes to the mentally unstable McCain campaign volunteer with delusions of grandeur who thought she could scare America into believing she was attacked and robbed by a 6' 4" pro-Obama black thug who cut a (backwards) "B" into her face after spotting her McCain bumper sticker. Despite skepticism from police, the McCain camp rushed to exploit the situation, peddling breathless versions of events to the press that could not be confirmed at the time. McCain and Palin even called Todd to wish her well, guaranteeing the incident would receive widespread media coverage. Then Todd's story fell apart, as she admitted it was all a hoax and was charged with filing a false police report. The McCain campaign was left burned and looking even more desperate and unbalanced than they had before, with less than a week to go until the election.

Looking back over this parade of campaign horribles, it's no wonder the GOP blame game started long before election night, when the depths of McCain's meltdown became evident. There's a lot of credit to go around. But every fool on this list can rest assured that despite their worst intentions, they made a unique contribution towards helping the best man win in 2008.

Digg!

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Memo to Netroots: Stop Tearing Down Obama's VP List

The Huffington Post, 8-19-08

(UPDATE 8/23: As the world found out via text message shortly after 3:00 AM EST, my wife and I both lost our bet. Kudos to Steve Clemons for having accurate info all week long about Joe Biden being Obama's impending pick.



Biden's been on the national stage since he led the fight against Robert Bork's extreme right wing Supreme Court nomination in 1987, but stepping into the VP nominee spotlight, he'll probably surprise people who think they know him. For someone who heads the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Biden may be the most average Joe in the Senate, with a middle class bankroll (ranked 99th in net worth out of 100 Senators in 2005), and a daily commute to Washington on Amtrak from his home in Wilmington, Delaware. His wife, Jill, is a full-time educator at Delaware Technical and Community College.)

(UPDATE 8/21: As the veepstakes drag on, my wife's prediction is looking better and better. Yesterday, Team Obama swiftly issued a denial of press reports that he would be at an event in Indianapolis on Saturday following the VP roll-out in Springfield, IL, which sounds suspiciously like an attempt to keep the secret in the bag).

My wife and I have a bet on who Barack Obama will choose as his vice presidential nominee. She says Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN), while my money’s on Virginia Gov. Tim Kaine. But the more I think about Bayh, and the mini-controversy surrounding his name being in contention, the more I’m convinced I may be backing the wrong horse.



Bayh would bring a lot of strengths to an Obama ticket. He’s got experience as a former two-term Governor and has served in the Senate since 1999. He is a politically moderate former chair of the Democratic Leadership Council, and would provide ideological balance to Obama’s progressive credentials. He could carry his home state of Indiana for the Democrats, a reliably Republican bastion that John McCain is counting on to get to 270 electoral votes.

Most importantly, Bayh would help attract votes for Obama in the battleground Midwest, the most hotly contested region in the country. In 2004, John Kerry swept the Northeast and West Coast by large margins, and George W. Bush won by landslides in the South, Rocky Mountain West and Great Plains. However, the popular vote in the Midwest was an exact tie – 49.6% to 49.6%.

Yet a group of netroots activists are trying to scuttle Bayh’s chances of getting the VP nod. Last week the New York Times ran a profile of Bayh that reminded us he co-sponsored the Iraq War Resolution in 2003, and the next day activists set up a Facebook group called "100,000 Strong Against Evan Bayh for VP."

The effort fell short of its call to arms to "grow this group to 100,000 in a day and send a clear message to the Obama campaign," with 3,794 members as of Monday afternoon. Still, noted liberal bloggers like Amanda Marcotte of Pandagon and OpenLeft's Chris Bowers and Matt Stoller signed on, as word of the campaign spread through the blogosphere and immediately attracted press coverage.

Over the weekend, Washington insider Steve Clemons of the New America Foundation posted on his blog that "sources close to Obama report to me that after the 'surge of concern' on the net about Evan Bayh, he has not been selected as Obama's VP running mate." Bloggers fanning the flames of the Bayh "reverse draft" promptly rejoiced. But if any leaks dissing Bayh are coming out of the previously ironclad, no-drama Obama machine, it’s likely he was never going to be the VP pick.

The Obama camp has already shown it couldn’t care less what the netroots think by its handling of the FISA wiretap issue. Which is a smart move, because netroots bloggers are a lot more irrelevant than most of them would like to believe.



This primary season, the darling presidential candidate of the blogosphere was not Obama, but John Edwards, the candidate running for president while hiding a big secret. No one can be blamed for not realizing Edwards was concealing an affair, yet his constant missteps throughout the campaign showed terrible political judgement.

Just as Howard Dean’s support from bloggers in 2004 never materialized into off-line, real world votes, Edwards’ campaign sputtered out in ’08 after a series of mostly third place finishes in the early contests. As Obama caught fire, building an enormous online fundraising machine and winning votes without the endorsement or support of some of the biggest name liberal bloggers, some of them felt sidelined.

Is this why the netroots are wasting time and energy tearing down one of Obama’s potential VP choices? I hope not.

A few of the same bloggers now campaigning against Bayh were lukewarm on Obama from the start. Amanda Marcotte was actually hired by Edwards in early 2007 as a campaign blogger before resigning in controversy over some of her incendiary past blog postings attacking Catholicism. Bowers posted an "Obama Campaign Post-Mortem" in October, 2007 that proclaimed "losing the netroots has been the downfall of Barack Obama's campaign." Following Obama's FISA vote, Stoller accused the presumptive nominee of being "part of that old politics, in this case, that he said he wasn't. It will spur us to challenge him."



The anti-Bayh Facebook group labels him "a career legacy politician who fell hook, line, and sinker for the administration's case for a disastrous war." But like John Edwards eventually renounced his vote for the Iraq War, Bayh also admits he was wrong. "Senator Bayh has shown the judgment that we need to admit that mistakes were made and we need to learn from them," said a Bayh spokesman. Since the netroots took the credibility-challenged Edwards at his word when he apologized for his Iraq vote, why can’t Bayh catch the same break?

Some activists have also voiced problems with Evan Bayh (and Tim Kaine) for their less than total support for the pro-choice agenda. Bayh’s record on abortion rights is mixed. In 2003, he received a 50% rating from NARAL, although in 2006, the anti-choice National Right to Life Committee gave him a 25% rating.

The pro-choice movement has lost a lot of ground over the past few decades. The right has made a concerted effort to pack the federal judiciary with rabidly conservative, anti-choice judges. Their ultimate goal is to overturn Roe v. Wade, and return us to the days of back alley abortions. Now they’re only one Supreme Court seat away from a solid anti-choice majority.

Obama’s pro-choice record is pretty stellar. If he selects a vice presidential nominee who has triangulated on the abortion issue, should pro-choice activists sit out the election? Not voting for Obama means helping elect John McCain and flushing Roe v. Wade right down the toilet. This is not rocket science.

And as McCain made clear last week, he might make a play for disaffected Hillary Democrats by choosing a VP who’s pro-choice, like former Pennsylvania Governor Tom Ridge. "We need to accept both points of view," said Ridge about running with McCain. "He’s not judgemental about me or my belief. He just disagrees with me."



If the left is ever going to get serious about winning elections, we need to stop insisting on 100% ideological purity from our candidates. News flash to progressives: politics is about assembling winning coalitions. In 2004, only 23% of Americans described themselves as liberal, versus 26% middle of the road and 32% conservative. Unless you’re running to represent a constituency that’s dependably left of center, it’s almost impossible to get elected without appealing to the middle.

So here's a message for the netroots. If Obama picks Evan Bayh, or Tim Kaine, or someone else who you don’t agree with on every issue, get over it. Look at the realities of the political map. Save your fire for the real enemy, the GOP slime machine that’s trying its best to render Obama unelectable. Encourage readers of your blogs to volunteer for the Obama campaign to register new voters. Conduct opposition research on John McCain’s short list, post the findings, and set up Facebook groups opposing some of them for VP. Otherwise, by screwing around with Obama’s VP selection, you’re doing McCain’s work for him.

Friday, August 15, 2008

America Dodged a Bullet Named John Edwards

In light of the John Edwards affair scandal, the country dodged a bullet in 2004 when Edwards was defeated for the Democratic nomination by John Kerry. Thinking about a candidate with Edwards’ stunningly bad judgement in the Oval Office is enough to make anyone shudder, unless you’re a fan of how George W. Bush has driven America into the ditch for the past eight years.



Still a first term U.S. Senator from North Carolina, Edwards was struggling to stay in the presidential race during late 2003 after his fundraising dried up. He had trouble making his payroll that December, a fact his staff kept secret. His campaign was running on fumes before his surprise second place showing in the Iowa caucuses over better known contenders like Howard Dean and Richard Gephardt gave it new life.

Kerry narrowly edged Edwards in Iowa on Jan. 19, with 37.6% of the vote to Edwards’ 31.8%. Kerry rode the momentum from his Iowa victory and steamrolled his opponents, winning all but four of the primaries and caucuses that followed. He wrapped up the nomination when Edwards dropped out in early March.

With participation in the Iowa caucuses estimated at about 124,000 that year, Edwards would have won if only a few thousand caucusgoers had chosen him over Kerry. And it could easily have happened. By caucus night, Edwards was surging on the strength of his powerful "Two Americas" closing speech, which he rolled out late in the game on Dec. 29, and his last minute endorsement by the Des Moines Register. It’s plausible that then Edwards would have been the one coasting on a wave of subsequent victories to the nomination.

According to NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd, Edwards' chief miscalculation was not devoting more of his energy to Iowa in 2003, instead of spending so much time in New Hampshire. The Edwards campaign only started rounding up Iowa precinct captains in early December, and eventually had them in place in just 75% of all precincts. In longtime USA Today columnist Walter Shapiro's book on the '04 race, One Car Caravan, he described Edwards' statewide caucus organization as "having been assembled out of tin foil and chewing gum."



In early 2004, I volunteered for Edwards’ presidential campaign at his headquarters in Raleigh, N.C. It gave me an up close glimpse at an operation that often seemed as much software start-up as national political campaign. I witnessed a weird hybrid of an organization that was chronically disorganized, struggling to adapt to the big leagues of presidential politics, and flying by the seat of its pants, but with a top-down, corporate feel.

I should have known things were a little nutty after meeting Edwards’ close pal and eventual baby daddy fall guy Andrew Young, then serving as Director of Operations. Young handed me a campaign credit card on my second day through the door as a volunteer (I’d walked in off the street, with no mention of my previous campaign experience), and sent me out to pick up supplies.

My volunteer duties started with stuffing envelopes, about as entry level as it gets, before I graduated to phonebanking, calling to put other local volunteers on the schedule, and helping answer the phones. Which afforded me a window seat to the campaign’s panic on the morning after Edwards won the South Carolina primary on Feb. 3. As luck would have it, the not-ready-for-prime-time Edwards for President website crashed due to traffic overload. Campaign staffers and volunteers spent the day taking hundreds of credit card donations over the phone.



Following South Carolina, Edwards’ only primary win that year, I e-mailed a close friend of Elizabeth Edwards and asked him to pass along some of my observations as a volunteer about how the campaign was functioning. In retrospect, this was a naïve move on my part, since things were set in stone by that point. Who knows if my e-mail was ultimately given any more attention than the myriad letters that arrived at the headquarters containing unsolicited campaign advice, and were promptly stored away in filing cabinets, unread and unanswered. Although Elizabeth’s friend did get back to me immediately, and we had a long phone conversation.

I’m not saying his 2004 effort was grossly mismanaged, because every political campaign is chaotic to a degree. But re-reading what I wrote in hindsight of Edwards’ tabloid downfall, I’m struck by how fortunate it is that the Edwards campaign wasn’t a little more organized that winter, at least based on what I saw from my admittedly limited perspective as an ordinary volunteer.



Here’s some excerpts from that e-mail...

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Thank You, John Edwards

The Huffington Post, 8-13-08

Silver linings for Democrats in the John Edwards affair scandal

Cheating on his cancer-stricken wife, lying to the public about it while running for president, and lying some more while supposedly coming clean on national TV. There are good reasons for the rush to denounce the suddenly toxic John Edwards. But lest we forget, he accomplished a few positive things during his decade on the political stage. On several counts, the nation owes him a debt of gratitude.

During Edwards' meteoric rise in politics, many people thought he could be another Bill Clinton, minus the sex scandals. Turns out he had that part covered, too.

They looked at Edwards and saw an optimistic, folksy, Southern Democrat talking about bread and butter economic issues. Edwards had rhetorical gifts honed by years of appealing to juries as a highly successful trial lawyer. He seemed disciplined enough to stay on message, whether meeting donors, giving stump speeches, or appearing before the TV cameras.



Yet in 2004, Edwards' unrelenting ambition and self-promotion ensured he would be off message as John Kerry's vice presidential nominee. Perhaps fueled by the "increasingly egocentric" narcissism he copped to last week while admitting his affair, Edwards kept the focus on himself. He refused to go on the attack against George W. Bush, reasoning that playing the traditional VP role of hatchet man would blow his image as a sunny, fresh face in politics. And maybe damage his prospects for another presidential run.

He couldn't even agree with Kerry on a slogan, refusing to adopt Kerry's "Help is on the way." Edwards preferred "Hope is on the way," which was more tuned to the themes of his own primary campaign. But Edwards was unable to entirely charm his way out of reality. He was woefully unprepared for his biggest turn in the spotlight, his sole debate with Dick Cheney, who wiped the floor with him. Edwards didn't carry his home state of North Carolina, even losing his home county and hometown of Robbins, N.C. The Democratic ticket lost every Southern state.



Ironically, by helping to bungle the 2004 elections for the Democrats, Edwards may have done us all a favor. As much continued damage as the Bush Administration has caused in the past four years, Bush's second term set the stage for Republican overreach. If the Kerry/Edwards team had been elected, the burden would have been on them to find a graceful exit from the Iraq war disaster. Hurricane Katrina and the destruction of New Orleans would have happened on their watch, instead of providing the country with the wakeup call we needed to finally see Bush, Cheney & Co. had no clothes.

In 2006, Congress would almost certainly have remained in Republican hands, with Tom DeLay possibly emerging as Speaker. We'd be getting ready to coronate John McCain in '08, or worse. Maybe Jeb Bush would be heading the ticket, about to lead yet another restoration of the Bush family dynasty.

Edwards' tone-deaf political instincts again helped America out when he foolishly decided to push ahead with another presidential bid. Despite carrying on an affair with an unstable, new age nutcase with a shady past like Rielle Hunter in the 24/7 infotainment fishbowl of presidential politics, Edwards honestly thought the public would never find out. He even took her with him on his official announcement tour in the closing days of 2006, allowing her to be photographed sitting next to him on his campaign plane.



Hillary Clinton's former communications director Howard Wolfson was essentially right when he observed that by covering up his affair and staying in the 2008 race, Edwards cleared the field for Barack Obama. That's not a knock on Obama's historic candidacy, it's just the way things happened.

Wolfson's detractors cite a caucus night survey showing Obama was the second choice of 51% of Edwards caucusgoers, versus 32% for Clinton. But if Edwards had decided to quit before Iowa, where he had been practically living for the past few years, Clinton would never have considered writing the state off. It would have been harder for Obama to win the caucuses. As things turned out, Edwards finished second, edging out Clinton by a few tenths of a percentage point in a serious psychological blow to her campaign.

And by staying in the hunt until he limped to third place in South Carolina, the only primary state he won during 2004, Edwards split enough of the white vote with Clinton to give Obama a lopsided 55% victory. Only 2% of African-American voters in South Carolina backed John Edwards, according to exit polls, but he won the white vote, 40% to Clinton's 36%, with 24% for Obama.

Thanks to Edwards, the story that came out of South Carolina was that Obama had scored a bi-racial landslide, which gave him much needed momentum going into the Super Tuesday contests. It was a watershed event in Obama's path to the nomination.

Win or lose in November, Barack Obama's turn at bat is giving the Democratic party a huge boost for the future. Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, younger voters' party affiliations basically tracked those of their parents and grandparents. But because of Obama's ascendancy (and the country souring on the GOP brand after eight rotten years of Bush), the generation gap is back.

In late June polls, voters under thirty-five backed Obama over McCain by an astonishing 27-point margin. And 58% now self-identify with the Democratic party versus 33% with the Republicans, as shown by a recent Pew Research Center report.

Finally, by falling short in his bids for the Democratic nomination, let alone the presidency, Edwards ensured Democrats would not be seriously tarnished again by a national sex scandal. He would have truly been the second coming of Bill Clinton if Edwards had advanced further and then gotten caught with his pants down.



He even chose as good a time as any to go public with his ludicrously half-truthful televised mea culpa. If he had waited another two weeks, coverage of the Democratic National Convention would have been drowned out by the media fury. It would have been a replay of when Dick Morris was busted at the '96 convention for consorting and toe-sucking with call girls, only a lot noisier.

The Edwards affair story has been a big distraction from real news, like Wal-Mart coercing its employees to vote Republican in November, oil companies funding a massive propaganda campaign designed to open up our coasts to off-shore drilling, and a GAO report just released that reveals two-thirds of U.S. corporations paid no annual taxes from 1998-2005.

But because Edwards is out of office, not on the ballot, and now out of the running for a convention speech, VP slot or cabinet post, it will have little effect on Democrats' chances this fall.

So thank you, John Edwards. You can go now.

Friday, August 8, 2008

I'm Disappointed in John Edwards

The Huffington Post, 8-8-08

His political career flames out in a tawdry tabloid mess

I’m disappointed in John Edwards. The former presidential hopeful’s admission that he did in fact have an extramarital affair with his one time campaign videographer Rielle Hunter was not surprising to anyone who’s been following the story. Nor was his fessing up to having repeatedly lied to the public in his attempts to cover up the affair, or conceding the National Enquirer was accurate to report he had recently met with Hunter in a Beverly Hills hotel.



I feel badly for his wife Elizabeth and the rest of the Edwards family. The public exposure of what should have remained a private matter is an unfortunate situation all around. But what dismays me the most about this episode is the astoundingly bad judgement it reveals about the man. He was risking his own political career, and potentially the Democratic party’s chances of winning the presidency if he had been nominated, all for some cheap thrills in the sack.

Before entering politics, Edwards didn’t even vote regularly in national elections until the 1990s, so perhaps he missed what happened to Gary Hart in 1987. The then-frontrunner for the Democratic nomination thought he was invincible enough to cheat on his wife without anyone finding out. When it hit the press, Hart’s White House bid was over.



Flash forward twenty years to April of 2007. Several months before questions began swirling about Edwards’ relationship with Hunter, he came under fire for his $400 haircuts. And many progressives, myself included, rushed to his defense. Edwards had a lot of admirers on the left during his second run for the presidency. Many thought he was an effective advocate for working people who have been left behind by the growing income inequality in America.

People wanted to believe that John Edwards was sincere when he talked about his dedication to ending poverty and fighting for average folks. He positioned himself as the most liberal of the major Democratic contenders in 2008, far to the left of the centrist persona he displayed while running for president in 2004.



As a result, Edwards got a pass from the left on a lot of things, from his early cheerleading for the war in Iraq to his weak support of gay rights. And when rumors of his affair with Hunter first surfaced last fall, progressives circled the wagons. When the Enquirer reported on July 22 that Edwards had visited Hunter and their supposed “love child” in the Beverly Hills Hilton, the same thing happened. Last week, a HuffPo blogger who wrote about the Edwards scandal was banned from DailyKos, one of the biggest progressive sites on the internet.

I volunteered for John Edwards’ presidential campaign in early 2004 at his national headquarters in Raleigh, N.C. There I met Andrew Young, the former Edwards campaign aide and married father of three who helped cover up the candidate’s indiscretion. Last December, Young claimed he had the affair with Hunter and was the father of her child.

In 2004, Young was serving as director of operations for the Edwards campaign. To me he seemed like an aging frat boy, a fairly common type on political campaign staffs. What I didn't know at the time was that Young had started out a staffer, but become a close Edwards pal. If anyone was going to take the fall for John Edwards in an embarrassing situation like this, it would be Andrew Young. There was a high turnover among Edwards’ campaign workers and consultants. But Young was part of the inner circle, on board since Edwards was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1998.

The moment press reports stated Rielle Hunter had moved down the street from the Youngs into a tony, gated community just outside of Chapel Hill called Governor’s Club, it was obvious something shady was going on. If Edwards thought the best response to rumors of an affair was to whisk his former girlfriend down to North Carolina and hide her away from the national media’s prying eyes, he was clearly delusional. And by engineering a clumsy coverup that implicated Young, his trusted campaign aide, Edwards created even more questions for inquiring minds.



But he got lucky. It was the week before Christmas when the Enquirer broke the news that Rielle Hunter was pregnant, and in its most sensational charge, alleged she was carrying Edwards' baby. The same media blackout on display for the past two weeks held firm then. Mainstream media organizations refused to report on the story, although Edwards was one of the top contenders for the Democratic nomination and had led Iowa caucus polls for much of 2007.



Edwards’ withdrawal from the presidential race in late January after losing the South Carolina primary made it even more likely that the press would forget the whole thing. Yet the National Enquirer stayed on the beat. As interest in Barack Obama’s vice presidential shortlist heated up, they decided revisiting the Edwards “love child” story might help sell some late summer papers and stave off the Enquirer’s impending bankruptcy.

Sadly, I’m disappointed but not surprised by this turn of events for John Edwards. In the statement he issued today about his affair, Edwards said, “I made a serious error in judgement.” But throughout his short political life, he’s shown similarly poor judgement on many occasions. Like voting for the war in Iraq and swallowing the Bush Administration’s fairy tale about WMD’s hook, line and sinker. Or giving up his U.S. Senate seat after only one term to seek the presidency in 2004.

In the months leading up to the 2008 primaries, his defenders consistently slammed the press for covering the gaffes known as Edwards' "three H's" - his newly constructed 28,000 square foot house, $400 haircuts, and large salary earned from a hedge fund for the super rich. Edwards raised the charge himself, accusing the media of playing a game called "Let's distract from people who don't have health care coverage."

There were plenty of right-wing Edwards haters out there who gladly used the media spin machine to magnify any bad news about him. Still, most of Edwards’ problems during the 2008 campaign were self-inflicted.



Like it or not, if you're running for president, your every move is under press scrutiny. Too bad Edwards didn’t realize this in time. Of course, part of Edwards' statement from today helps explain his foolish behavior, regarding the affair as well as his other political missteps. “In the course of several campaigns, I started to believe that I was special and became increasingly egocentric and narcissistic.”

In retrospect, Edwards’ entire political career was a flash in the pan, a triumph of hype over substance, and a big let-down for any progressives who were fooled into thinking Edwards was a working class champion capable of leading the Democratic Party to victory in a presidential race. Instead, John Edwards’ turn on the national stage will forever be remembered as ending in a tawdry tabloid mess, a cautionary tale of squandered potential.

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Where Was John Edwards?

During Hillary's health care fight, Edwards wasn’t even a regular voter

CHAPEL HILL - There she goes again. Elizabeth Edwards continued her long running series of attacks on Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) this week. In a Sept. 25 interview with the New York Daily News, she accused the Democratic presidential front-runner of not having fought hard enough for universal health care.



"It failed when the Clinton administration pulled this, when they said, 'We're not going to use any more political capital on this, on the fight for universal health care.'," Edwards told the Daily News. "And that's an important part that Sen. Clinton leaves out."

She also blamed the Clintons for putting NAFTA first. "They lost the fight in 1993, pulled it out because they wanted to use their political capital to get NAFTA passed as opposed to universal health care in '94."



Elizabeth left out any mention of her husband John's long history of support for NAFTA. In February, 2004, as he sought an endorsement from the New York Times in the runup to New York's presidential primary, he explained his position on free trade to the paper's editorial board. ''I think NAFTA is important - it is an important part of our global economy, an important part of our trade relations."

This latest criticism from Elizabeth follows others in which she claimed her husband John would be a better advocate on women's issues than Hillary Clinton, and that Clinton's recently released health care plan is a copy of the one John put forward six months ago.

It's ironic, though, that the Edwardses are so attuned to the Clintons' domestic political battles of the early 90's. Before he decided to run for office himself, John Edwards failed to vote in many key federal elections during this time period.



According to records from his former voting precinct in Raleigh, North Carolina, he didn't vote in N.C.'s historic 1990 mid-term elections. That contest pitted ultra conservative, incumbent U.S. Senator Jesse Helms (R-N.C.), the nemesis of liberals everywhere, against challenger Harvey Gantt, the progressive first black mayor of Charlotte.

He also sat out the 1992 presidential race that brought a Democratic president, Bill Clinton, back to the White House after twelve long years of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush.

And Edwards missed the 1994 general election. Republicans seized control of Congress that fall in part by running against any changes to the health care system, defeating numerous Democrats in swing districts around the country.

One of the Democrats who narrowly lost his seat was Rep. David Price, the Duke political science professor who represented Edwards in North Carolina's 4th congressional district. He fell to former Raleigh police chief Fred Heineman by a razor thin margin of 1215 votes. Price won his job back two years later, and has remained in office to this day.

When Edwards' missed votes were brought up by reporters during his 1998 U.S. Senate campaign, he explained he was busy building his law career in those years. "I was intensely focused on helping the people I was responsible for in my law practice," Edwards said at the time. "That was what I was spending my time on - that and my family."



Even if John wasn't voting while Bill and Hillary Clinton were battling the vast right wing conspiracy, and taking on the insurance and drug companies that helped bury her health care reforms, he and Elizabeth may have been taking notes. A lesson the Edwards camp has learned well from both Clintons' careers in politics is how a spouse can be a useful attack dog against political opponents.

In 1982, Bill Clinton was trying to regain the Arkansas Governor's mansion from Frank White, the Republican who had beaten him two years earlier. Hillary doggedly criticized White, showing up at his campaign events and savaging his policy positions from the audience. She was brutally effective. White found it hard to fight back, for fear of how voters would perceive political attacks on a wife and mother. When he lost the rematch, Frank White blamed Hillary.

Today, it's Elizabeth who's the hatchet woman, and her target is Hillary Clinton. In order for John to move out of third place in the polls and fundraising numbers, he's got to catch up to her somehow.

Not to mention convincing Democrats to abandon Barack Obama, who has thwarted Edwards' hopes of running as the main alternative to Clinton. Unfortunately, tearing down your rivals doesn't always sit well with primary voters.



You'd think John and Elizabeth would realize this, even though John was elected to public office only once and served merely a single term in the U.S. Senate. But the Edwardses' stalled quest for the White House can't be explained solely by their lack of campaign experience. Or that they haven't been in the game as long as a pair of political survivors like the Clintons.

Sometimes voters care more about where candidates have been than the names they've called each other lately.

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Edwards to Giuliani: Drop Dead

The News & Observer, Raleigh NC, 8-23-07

CHAPEL HILL - John Edwards wasted no time after his fellow presidential hopeful, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, dropped his recent comments that he was "at Ground Zero as often, if not more, than most of the workers," and called himself "one of them." Edwards campaign manager David Bonoir released a statement blasting Giuliani for taking "every opportunity to exploit the memory of 9/11 for political gain." The Edwards campaign labeled it "outrageous for Giuliani to suggest, in any way, shape or form, that he did more at ground zero or spent more time there than the brave first responders."

Giuliani's campaign fired back, dismissing Edwards' criticism. "For John Edwards to lecture Rudy Giuliani about September 11th is laughable at best," said Katie Levinson, Giuliani's Communications Director. "This is, after all, the same guy who thinks the War on Terror is simply a 'bumper sticker.'"

Harder to dismiss was a New York Times analysis showing Giuliani spent a total of twenty-nine hours at Ground Zero between September 17 and December 16, 2001, compared with an average 400 hours for cleanup workers.

It's not the first time Edwards has focused his attacks on Giuliani. Speaking before a crowd in San Francisco on August 1, Edwards said Giuliani as president would be "George Bush on steroids." He warned that "we have insurance companies, drug companies and oil companies running this government. And they need to be stopped. Giuliani just wants to empower them."

And at private fundraisers, Edwards swaggers when he floats the possibility of taking on Giuliani in the general election. "Are you telling me that Giuliani is going to beat me in the South?" Edwards asked his top North Carolina donors at a June closed-press event hosted by his former law firm in Raleigh. "Are you kidding? That sounds like some kind of joke!"

Since Edwards still has to clinch the Democratic nomination before stepping into the ring for a potential match against Rudy, his Giuliani-bashing might seem premature. Yet for Edwards, whose poll numbers and fundraising totals are stuck in third place, slamming a top Republican contender could be a smart move.

For one thing, it elevates him above the Democratic primary infighting. It might distract from Edwards' string of campaign missteps, like his expensive haircuts or ties to a hedge fund for the wealthy that owns subprime mortgage companies, two of which were recently discovered trying to foreclose on Katrina victims. Not to mention generating goodwill for him among Democrats tired of seeing their candidates turning on each other like crabs in a barrel. The longer Obama and Clinton squabble over who has the experience to be Commander in Chief, they more they risk creating an opening for Edwards to slip through.

It also plays to Edwards' perceived strengths as a Southern Democrat. By raising the prospect of running against a Northeastern Republican like Giuliani who is pro-choice on abortion and supports gay rights, Edwards is subtly suggesting he can compete for the votes of social conservatives. "You get a Southerner against a former New York City mayor, and you've really got a cultural dichotomy that is tough on the GOP," veteran Democratic consultant Bill Carrick recently told Rolling Stone. "It's enough to make a Republican strategist suicidal."

But despite his accent, Edwards' appeal in Southern states is by no means a done deal. He was elected by North Carolina voters to his single Senate term in 1998 by a tight 51-47 margin, defeating incumbent Republican Senator Lauch Faircloth. Faircloth was outgunned by Edwards' telegenic, youthful appeal and natural skills as a campaigner, but he was also one of Bill Clinton's main tormentors and a casualty of voter anger over Clinton's impeachment.

In 2004, Edwards chose to give up his Senate seat after one term and run for president full throttle. Skeptics claimed it was because he wouldn't have been re-elected in North Carolina. Throughout most of his term, Edwards was dogged by criticism that his presidential ambitions were detracting from his ability to serve the state in Congress.

Although Edwards won the South Carolina primary in 2004, his only primary win of the season, it wasn't very overwhelming. He only managed 45 percent of the vote to Kerry's 30 percent, with 10 percent for Al Sharpton. And the Edwards campaign mounted an all-out organizing effort in South Carolina, the hardest they worked to win any contest all season. Just a week after his South Carolina victory, he still lost to Kerry by double-digit margins in both Virginia (52-27) and Tennessee (41-26).

When he was considering Edwards as a running mate, John Kerry sent his brother Cam to North Carolina to meet with local journalists and longtime political observers, one at a time. The first question he invariably asked was, "Can Edwards carry your state?" But in November, Bush took 56 percent of the vote in North Carolina, versus 43.5 percent for the Kerry/Edwards ticket, almost identical to his 56-43 victory there over Gore in 2000. The Democrats lost every Southern state, and couldn't even carry Edwards' home county or his hometown of Robbins, N.C.

In 2004, black voters made up 49 percent of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina. This time around, they're splitting almost exclusively between Obama and Clinton, which spells trouble for Edwards. Recent state polls reveal him about where he is nationally, in third place with an average of 15 percent.

It’s unclear whether Southern moderates would warm to John Edwards version ’08 in a general election. The centrist image Edwards staked out during his Senate term is a fair distance from the unabashedly liberal platform he’s running on today. In 2004, Edwards was to the right of Kerry and Dean. He’s since reinvented himself as the most progressive of the major Democratic candidates.

As far as the latest national numbers go, Edwards is in good shape for any eventual dust-up with Rudy. In polls from late June to late July compiled by the site RealClearPolitics, he leads Giuliani in a hypothetical general election matchup by an average of two points. Yet that's par for the course right now, at a time when the war in Iraq and six years of George W. Bush's countless mistakes have soured the country on the GOP brand. Clinton beats all Republican comers by an average of four points. Obama's got a nine-point advantage over Giuliani and company. In a June NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll of generic presidential preferences, Democrats showed a 21-point advantage, 52 percent to 31 percent.

Lest Edwards gain any traction by beating up on the Republican Party's would-be standard bearer, Hillary was quick on the draw, contrasting herself with the current White House occupant.

Last week she released her first TV ad of the 2008 campaign in Iowa, which bashes Bush by showing her standing up for people like struggling families, single moms, and our nation's soldiers who seem "invisible to this president." Edwards can run against Giuliani all he wants, but first he's got to catch up with the other New Yorker in this race.

Friday, August 10, 2007

John Edwards is Out to Get Himself

CHAPEL HILL - John Edwards and I now share hairdressers. I'm not talking about Joseph Torrenueva, the Beverly Hills-based hair artist who cut his locks from 2003 until March of this year, and whose expensive services have caused much political grief for Edwards. To atone for the $400 haircuts he regularly received from Torrenueva Hair Designs, Edwards has begun seeing the stylists at my neighborhood Great Clips, where the going rate is a far more reasonable $12. They've told me he's very down to earth, and a good tipper.

For someone who's been caricatured as a rich phony, John and his wife Elizabeth are about as regular people as you're likely to find in a presidential race. Most people by now know the basics of his biography, how he grew up as the son of a millworker, and was the first in his family to go to college. Even today, in the middle of the family's second campaign for national office, Elizabeth still shops at Target, and John takes the kids on expeditions to nearby grocery stores.

Edwards recently created a stir when his campaign released a video of an appearance he made July 26 before a group of voters in Iowa. In the video, he refers to "this silly, frivolous nothing stuff" in the media. "This stuff's not an accident," said Edwards. "They want to shut me up. That's what this is about."



His defenders have consistently slammed the press for covering the gaffes known as Edwards' "three H's" - his newly constructed 28,000 square foot house, $400 haircuts, and large salary earned from a hedge fund for the wealthy. Now Edwards has raised the charge himself, accusing the media of playing a game called "Let's distract from people who don't have health care coverage."

But is it accurate? Can John Edwards' stumbles honestly be blamed on mainstream media organizations out to get a candidate whose policy positions are seen as hostile to corporate interests? There are plenty of right-wing Edwards haters out there who have gladly used the media spin machine to magnify any bad news about him. And in light of the many challenges America faces in cleaning up after George W. Bush, the attention supposed character issues like the "three H's" have received is unfortunate. Still, a large part of the problem is Edwards' own poor political judgement.

After the 2004 campaign, the Edwards family moved from their house in an upscale neighborhood of Raleigh, N.C. to Chapel Hill, where housing prices are among the highest in the state. They bought land on the outskirts of town, and waited for their new home to be constructed, a sprawling compound that combines home and office space. The tax value of the house is $6 million, and totals 28,000 square feet. By comparison, the Clintons' Dutch Colonial in Chappaqua, NY has a square footage of 5,200, and was purchased in 1999 for $1.7 million.

About his work for Fortress Investment Group, a New York-based hedge fund, Edwards has said he wanted to learn more about the role of financial markets in helping alleviate poverty. Asked if he couldn't have just taken a class, he replied, "That's true." Edwards was paid a $479,512 salary by Fortress as an advisor during 2005 and 2006, and earned another $1.2 million in investment income from the firm.

It doesn't take a political genius to realize a job with a high flying hedge fund could hurt a candidate's anti-poverty credentials. Fortress greatly expanded its investments into sub-prime mortgage lenders while Edwards worked there, the type of predatory companies he regularly denounces on the campaign trail. "He didn't go through the portfolio," admits Elizabeth.

Edwards deserves the benefit of the doubt about his explanation that he didn't know how much his $400 haircuts cost. But he must have realized it wasn't cheap to fly a hairdresser to the stars around the country to cut his hair for more than three years. He may have been unaware of how Republicans have repeatedly used Democrats' fancy hair stylists to paint them as out of touch with average voters, although it happened to his running mate John Kerry in 2004. Regardless, Edwards was tripped up by his own bad judgement in getting such gold-plated hair treatment to begin with.



He also got into haircut trouble because his campaign team screwed up. His haircuts would never have become an issue if a staffer had not inadvertently billed two of them to the campaign during the first quarter of 2007, instead of charging Edwards’ personal account. Since no one in charge of filing his finance reports saw a problem with $400 haircuts, they became public knowledge, and the media reported on them. Like it or not, if you're running for President, your every move is under press scrutiny.

Beyond the "three H's," Edwards has fumbled through a series of campaign missteps that also call his decision making into question. Hiring bloggers who drew fire for anti-religious writings they'd previously posted on their personal blogs. Asking anti-war supporters to stage protests at Memorial Day parades, with a promise to post photos of the best demonstrations on a campaign-run website. Most recently, attacking Hillary Clinton for accepting $20,000 in campaign contributions from Fox News owner Rupert Murdoch and Fox executives, saying "the time has come for Democrats to stop pretending to be friends with the very people who demonize the Democratic Party." Predictably, Fox News wasted no time reminding the world that Edwards earned $800,000 last year from a book deal with Murdoch's HarperCollins unit.

When it comes to lifestyle, John and Elizabeth defend their choices by pointing out John worked hard as a highly successful trial lawyer to achieve their estimated $29.5 million net worth, and their family should be allowed to enjoy it. Giving every American the opportunities John Edwards has been afforded is one of his candidacy's central themes, an underpinning of Edwards' crusade against poverty.

Yet Edwards is taking a big risk by allowing displays of wealth to undercut his appeal as someone who knows what it's like to come from humble means. According to Drew Westen, professor of psychology at Emory and author of The Political Brain, a candidate's personal characteristics trump their policy positions every time. Voters look for emotional details that help them measure judgement, integrity, and leadership, rewarding consistent narratives about what values and vision a candidate possesses. The voting public doesn't decide between candidates by rationally weighing their platforms. This reality helped sink nominees like Kerry and Al Gore, even though their policies were backed by more Americans than those of George W. Bush.

I want to root for the guy who goes to the same haircut joint as me, even if he's a Johnny-come-lately to Great Clips. His '08 proposals are the most progressive of the major Democratic contenders, from providing universal health care to raising taxes on the super rich. But Edwards is making it hard with his unending string of self-inflicted political nicks and cuts. The next time he wonders who's really out to shut him up, John might want to sit down in our $12 stylist's chair and take a good look in the mirror.

(UPDATE 8/12/08 – Versions of this column were rejected by multiple media outlets, including the LA Times, New York Times, New Republic, Slate, Salon.com, and USA Today. Clearly they didn’t like the piece, but why? Maybe the news cycle was already saturated with stories about Edwards’ “three H” gaffes, or editors were giving Edwards a pass after he accused them on July 26, 2007 of trying to “distract from people who don't have health care coverage” by reporting on his campaign missteps. Footnote to the story: after getting a haircut once at the local Great Clips to comb over his $400 haircut flap, Edwards didn't visit again throughout the rest of the ’08 campaign.)

Wednesday, August 1, 2007

John Edwards needs a reboot, but Obama's got buzz

The Hill, 8-1-07

   
   

John Edwards' campaign wanted to be Dean 2.0, counting on netroots support to power him to victory. But Obama stole Edwards' online thunder.

When a prominent internet strategist for John Edwards was interviewing prospective bloggers to work on the former Senator's 2008 campaign for president, he wooed one potential hire over baklava in New York City. It was January 14, 2007, just three weeks after Edwards' official entry into the race, and the candidate spoke that day at a Martin Luther King Day commemoration service at Riverside Church in Harlem. The strategist told the blogger, Lindsay Beyerstein, author of the left-wing blog Majikthise, that Edwards' campaign would tap the power of the internet in revolutionary ways.

As Beyerstein put it, he proclaimed "how John Edwards was going to be a different kind of candidate. We, a new generation of Internet-savvy activists, had finally come of age. We were going to help Edwards run a campaign that was totally outside the Beltway." He promised the Edwards campaign "was going to be a decentralized grass-roots operation," and before leaving the cafe, offered her a job as Edwards' official blogmistress.



From the moment Edwards launched his 2008 campaign by posting a video of his announcement speech on YouTube, he seemed poised to win the title of most internet-savvy presidential candidate. His slick-looking website, his wife Elizabeth's regular posts to the top-rated political blog DailyKos, and his hiring of high profile veterans of Howard Dean's 2004 internet-fueled run like Joe Trippi and Matthew Gross all signaled that Edwards would be making a strong play for netroots support. In the campaign's early days, the media breathlessly covered the campaign's online know-how and swallowed the hype that Edwards 2008 would be Dean version 2.0 - bigger, smarter, and better at using the internet to harvest money, volunteers, and votes.



Things haven't quite turned out that way. Record-breaking fundraising totals, massive turnouts at rallies and campaign events stoked by online organizing, building an online community of like-minded supporters - it's all happening, and on a level that dwarfs anything Howard Dean was able to achieve. But it's being done by Barack Obama, the candidate who's stolen Edwards' online thunder.

Clicking for dollars

Looking at fundraising totals tells part of the story. The part of Dean's campaign that all the 2008 candidates want to emulate is his amazing money-generating internet machine. And at this point in the last presidential race, Dean burst onto the national political radar by announcing he had raised $7.5 million in the second quarter of 2003, $4 million of it online, which was more than twice what he'd raised in the first quarter. Overnight, thanks to this infusion of internet cash, he went from long shot to serious contender.

True, Edwards posted decent figures by raising approximately $3.3 million via internet donations in the first quarter of 2007, out of an overall haul of $14 million. That was approximately three times as much as he raised online while running for president in the first quarter of 2003. But it took him the first two months of 2007 to cross the online $1 million mark, and a significant amount of his online first quarter totals poured in after his wife Elizabeth announced on March 22 that she was battling an incurable form of cancer. Following inaccurate press reports that Edwards was preparing to suspend his campaign, his supporters responded to Edwards' decision to stay in the race with a wave of donations, contributing $540,000 online in the week after Elizabeth's announcement. And in the second quarter, Edwards' fundraising numbers dropped, as his $9 million total came up $5 million short of what he was able to raise from January through March.

Obama, by contrast, has blown Dean's 2003 figures out of the water. During the second quarter of 2007, he raised nearly four times as much as Dean's second quarter 2003 total - $32.8 million, of which $31 million can be used for the primaries. $10.3 million of Obama's haul, or about a third, was from online donations, compared with $3.5 million for Edwards. He outraised frontrunner Hillary Clinton, who took in only $27 million overall, with $21.5 million in primary dollars. And he beat Edwards in the fundraising race by more than 3-1, including more money raised online than Edwards collected from all sources.

These numbers are on top of the astonishing $25.8 million Obama raised in the first quarter, including $6.9 million from internet donors, compared with Clinton's take of $26 million with $4.2 million raised online. 2007 is only half over, and Obama and Clinton have each already raised more money than the $50 million Dean pulled in during his entire presidential campaign.

Obama has also topped all Democrats in his total number of contributors, another crucial way to measure the breadth of a candidate's support. In the first quarter, Obama reported contributions from 104,000 individual donors, versus Edwards' 40,000 and 50,000 for Clinton. In the second quarter, Obama gained an additional 154,000 donors, for a year-to-date total of 258,000 who have made 358,000 individual contributions. In comparison, throughout Dean's 2004 campaign, he attracted approximately 318,000 donors who anted up 454,000 times. Edwards lagged behind, with an additional 60,000 second quarter donors, and Clinton declined to release her donor numbers for the second quarter in advance of the July 15 reporting deadline.

The online fundraising discrepancy between Edwards and Obama can partially be explained by how each campaign went about trying to recreate the Dean magic. Team Edwards tried hiring Dean's veteran staffers, including Dean campaign manager Joe Trippi, and Matthew Gross, who ran the Dean campaign's blog. Obama's folks signed on Dean talent, too, but they scooped up the software engineers who coordinated the nuts and bolts of Dean's internet fundraising operation. They then brought the co-founder of Facebook onboard to help create cutting edge campaign technology that would empower Obama supporters to fundraise and network in their own creative ways. Those two divergent approaches set the stage for a lot of what happened next.

Edwards: Early online promise stalls

One of Edwards' first announced hires for 2008 was Matthew Gross, who serves as Senior Advisor for Online Communications. Gross was Director of Internet Communications for the Dean campaign and launched the first presidential campaign weblog, Dean's Blog for America. Since 2004, Gross had relocated to Greensboro, N.C., an hour's drive from Edwards' national campaign headquarters in Chapel Hill. He was close at hand, and seemed a natural pick.

Back to Lindsay Beyerstein, of Majikthise, who was one of the first to be offered the job. As told to Salon, on that January afternoon, she immediately sensed trouble. "I'm probably not ... the person you want," she said. "I mean, I'm on the record saying that abortion is good and that all drugs should be legalized, including heroin. Don't you think that might be a little embarrassing for the campaign?" Beyerstein is also an atheist, and blogs about her religious views regularly. "(He) assured me that my controversial posts weren't a problem as far as the campaign was concerned. They were familiar with my work."

Incredibly, Beyerstein was promised she wouldn't even have to abandon her personal blog. "He noted, he hadn't given up his own blog, and neither had another member of the Edwards Internet team." In the end, she declined the campaign position, noting that "a bunch of Internet staffers with private blogs sounded like a disaster waiting to happen."

In mid-February, blog trouble did strike the Edwards campaign. The two bloggers ultimately hired, Amanda Marcotte and Melissa McEwan, came under withering fire for things they'd previously posted to their personal political blogs. Anti-religious charges against the bloggers were leveled by right-wing attack dogs like Bill O'Reilly, Michelle Malkin, and William Donahue, president of the conservative Catholic League for Religious and Civil Rights.

Clearly, these hires were not properly vetted by Edwards' staff, since bloggers' words are available on the internet for all to see. Despite the candidate's declaration of support, within a week's time, both bloggers had quit. The episode hurt Edwards by giving his right-wing critics ammunition to say he supported anti-religious bigotry, but the effects on his standing in the liberal blogosphere were a wash. He drew praise for publicly supporting the bloggers, but their quick resignations left a bad taste in some corners - those who persisted in believing Marcotte and McEwan had been forced out.

Edwards would continue to stock up on former Dean staffers. On April 19, former Dean campaign manager Joe Trippi announced on the Edwards campaign blog that he had reconsidered his retirement from politics and was signing on as a senior Edwards adviser.



This move followed the earlier hire of Trippi's most senior associate from his consulting firm, Daren Berringer, as Edwards' national field director. In addition to advising Edwards on strategy, Trippi was said to be joining the media team and helping to create Edwards' television, internet and radio ads. In a July 1 profile, the New York Times' Adam Nagourney reported that Elizabeth Edwards had advocated hiring Trippi "in large part to address her concern about lackluster fund-raising by the campaign."

Another of Edwards' major internet hires was Ben Brandzel, brought on board as Director of Online Communications. Brandzel was formerly Advocacy Director for MoveOn.org, and an organizer for Dean. Brandzel's arrival was followed by a Memorial Day stir when the campaign's online team asked anti-war Edwards supporters to stage protests at Memorial Day events. On a new website created by the Edwards campaign called supportthetroopsendthewar.com, people were urged to "buy a bunch of poster-board and markers," and "at a picnic or with family and friends, make signs that say ‘SUPPORT THE TROOPS — END THE WAR.’ Bring them to your local Memorial Day parade. Then take a digital photo of yourself and your family or friends holding up the poster and tell us about it. We’ll include it in a ‘Democracy Photo Album’ on our site."

Sounding suspiciously like a typical MoveOn.org e-mail appeal, the idea drew fire from the usual right-wing suspects, but also condemnation from veterans groups and mainstream newspaper editorials. Elizabeth Edwards wisely amended this plan by subsequently asking supporters not to protest on the Monday holiday, only the weekend before, because "Memorial Day itself is not supposed to be a day of protest. It's a day of honor." Lesson? What works in an advocacy group's e-mailed action alerts, directed at a narrow group of activists, doesn't always translate into effective ways to promote a presidential campaign.

Edwards' critics on the right had tasted blood during Bloggergate, and from that moment on intensified their efforts to malign his personal character in the hopes of derailing the Edwards campaign. They seized upon the existence of a two-minute video called "I Feel Pretty" that had been uploaded to YouTube in November, 2006 by an unknown Edwards skeptic.



The video contains behind-the-scenes footage of John Edwards arranging and fixing his hair for two agonizingly long minutes with the help of a female stylist, assumedly prior to a campaign appearance. It's set to the tune of "I Feel Pretty," from West Side Story. Fairly tame stuff, as campaign gaffes go. The footage is similar to unguarded candidate moments like those captured in the classic campaign trail documentary "Feed," shot during the 1992 New Hampshire presidential primary.

Unfortunately for Edwards, it reinforced the pre-existing storyline established by his political opponents ever since he stepped onto the national stage - that he was a blow-dried phony, more hairspray than substance. Larry Sabato of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia said Edwards risked being labeled a "pretty-boy," and longtime Roll Call columnist Norman Ornstein called the video "one of the more politically devastating things I've seen." The Republicans have spent years trying to paint him as the "Breck Girl," and somebody on Team Edwards should have immediately realized how dangerous this video might be.



Instead, the Edwards campaign has worked hard since the start of the 2008 campaign to drive traffic to YouTube, assuming that viewers who visited the site to learn about John Edwards would primarily view the campaign's own videos. These include footage of his campaign launch in New Orleans, Edwards' early campaign commercials, and a series of "Webisodes" created by Rielle Hunter, a New York filmmaker, showing scenes from the campaign trail. In one of them, Edwards tells viewers, "I've come to the conclusion I just want the country to see who I really am - not based on some plastic Ken doll you put up in front of audiences." And until March, total viewership of all Edwards' video content on YouTube remained about steady with the number of viewers who had stumbled onto the single "I Feel Pretty" clip.



Then right-wing columnists, talking heads, and bloggers all began making reference to the "I Feel Pretty" video in hit pieces focusing on the non-issue of Edwards' supposed vanity. Syndicated columnist Kathleen Parker was typical of this approach when she wrote in a mid-March column called "John Edwards' Death by Bangs," that "vanity is deemed unmanly...women don't trust men who spend more time in the bathroom than they do. And men don't trust men who primp."

Especially memorable was Ann Coulter's remark at the annual Conservative Political Action Conference on March 2, in which she infamously used an anti-gay slur while telling the audience why she couldn't talk about John Edwards. The Edwards campaign showed it was capable of harnessing the internet's viral fundraising power for a brief moment, when it posted a C-SPAN clip of Coulter's comments on its website, and used the controversy as a fundraising boost. Over $100,000 in online "Coulter Cash" came in over the next week from supporters who answered the campaign's call to "fight back against the politics of bigotry."



Despite the best efforts of Edwards-haters, the "I Feel Pretty" video didn't gain traction until mid-April, when Edwards gave his critics a surprise gift. News broke on April 17 that he had gotten two $400 haircuts during the first quarter, and according to his finance reports, the campaign had paid for both. Edwards claimed he had sat for the cuts in hotel rooms, on the campaign trail, and hadn't known they would be that expensive. He said it was a billing mistake for the campaign to have picked up the tab, and quickly reimbursed his treasury $800.

But his haircuts still became the political punchline of the moment. Leno and Letterman milked it, Edwards' right-wing enemies pounced, and rival candidates took aim, like Democratic Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT), who ducked into a New Hampshire barbershop for a $12 trim.



Former Governor of Arkansas Mike Huckabee got the biggest laugh line of the Republicans' second debate on May 15 when he claimed the current Congress had "spent money like John Edwards at a beauty shop."



Unlike other Edwards missteps, such as the news that he had accepted a large salary from a New York-based hedge fund for the super rich during 2005, the haircut flap had accompanying visuals. Predictably, views of the "I Feel Pretty" video soared.

As of July, it's now the first thing that pops up when someone does a simple search for "john edwards" on YouTube. It's been viewed over 800,000 times, with more than 300,000 views clocked during the first two weeks that news of Edwards' $400 haircuts broke in mid-April. By comparison, it took only 400,000 YouTube views of former Sen. George Allen (R-VA)'s infamous "macaca" moment to help seal his loss to Jim Webb in 2006.

How badly have the haircut brouhaha and his other stumbles hurt Edwards? According to polls compiled by the site RealClearPolitics, his average standing in national polls has fallen from 17.8 percent in April to 11.5 percent by mid July. In the liberal blogosphere, Edwards' defenders have consistently condemned attention given to the haircuts as proof that the mainstream media is out to get a candidate whose policy positions are seen as hostile to corporate interests. But most admit the story has done damage. On June 18, DailyKos founder Markos Moulitsas Zuniga posted a commentary called "No freakin' Clue," about the vulnerabilities of all the major Democratic presidential candidates. He singled out Edwards' ineffective response to the haircut mess as his campaign's biggest gaffe to date. The post drew nearly a thousand comments, and half were about Edwards' hair.

What should the Edwards campaign have done about its hairy YouTube situation? Credited to Chuck DeFeo, e-campaign manager for Bush's 2004 re-election campaign, the concept "flooding the zone" means to upload a torrent of random videos to YouTube as soon as a damaging video surfaces. The videos should share the exact same titles and labels as the already existing, damaging YouTube clip, since the aim is to make it difficult for users to find the video they're searching for.

So for starters, Team Edwards could have flooded the zone. Not by following DeFeo's strategy entirely, but by encouraging their supporters to upload their own videos about how the price of a candidate's haircuts is a distraction from more important issues. Or they might have uploaded some new, campaign-produced content, and worked to get it noticed.

Like devising a video starring John that took the vanity issue head on by spoofing it. Media guru Mandy Grunwald put a variation of this tactic to effective use for Hillary Clinton in her recent YouTube parody of the Sopranos finale. The campaign could have orchestrated a viral reaction, by directing supporters to forward the clip to friends and embed it as a video link within posts and comments on high-traffic blogs. All in the hopes that something unrelated to "I Feel Pretty" would end up the most-watched John Edwards video on YouTube.

At the Democrats' CNN/YouTube debate on July 23, the Edwards campaign unveiled a 30-second spot designed for YouTube that might have fit the bill nicely. Appropriately set to the song "Hair," from the Broadway musical, the video features scenes of the Iraq War, Bush's "Mission Accomplished" moment, and Hurricane Katrina victims. At the end, the spot asks, "What really matters? You choose." Better three months late than never.



Several of Edwards' other initiatives as an e-candidate haven't lived up to their hype. He got a lot of press for his early presence on social networking sites like MySpace and Facebook, as well as the sheer number of sites where his staffers set up campaign pages, more than two dozen in all. A few months into the campaign, many of the same pages had negligible traffic, and some hadn't been updated since their creation.

Similarly, Edwards got buzz mileage out of being the first candidate to start using Twitter, a site that lets you post short, two-sentence snippets about what you're doing at any given moment. But, as skeptics of the service have noted, who really cares? Aren't the same people who want to follow what John Edwards is doing every hour on the hour already rabid enough about his campaign not to need any more hand-holding?

Although Joe Trippi hasn't yet turned Edwards' internet fortunes around, he recently made news starring in, what else, a YouTube video for the campaign. He and deputy campaign manager Jonathan Prince attempted to make a pecan pie using John's mother's homemade recipe, during a fundraising push timed to coincide with the candidate's 54th birthday. They posted the video showing them baking and burning the pie to YouTube, featuring a cameo from Elizabeth seeking donations. "We brought in close to $300,000," said Trippi. "All we spent was a couple of bucks for the milk and eggs." But so far, only 39,696 views. And increasingly, that number counts.



Obama: All the right online moves

Barack Obama is leading the Democrats' online charge. According to Nielsen BuzzMetrics' latest internet ratings, Democratic presidential candidates are dominating the blogosphere, beating the Republicans at "buzz," defined as online mentions in blogs and discussion, by nearly a 2-1 ratio over the past twelve months. Obama has created the greatest buzz overall, with a 2-1 lead over Hillary Clinton, who is a distant second.



Through June, Obama, Edwards, and Clinton netted $28 million online, not including Clinton's second quarter totals, compared with $18 million for Guiliani, McCain, and Romney. Obama's website generated the greatest number of unique visitors of any candidate site in April, according to Nielsen/NetRatings. Obama led with 647,000 unique visitors, followed by Clinton with 498,000 and Edwards with 385,000. John McCain had the highest-ranked Republican candidate site, in fourth place with 212,000 visitors.

Incredibly, Obama has built his online juice without buying any internet ads on other sites, except for Google-sponsored search links. Heavy online ad spending is assumed to be the only reason McCain's website placed fourth in recent traffic rankings. Obama's website also led the presidential field in generating 3.8 million pageviews by its visitors during April.



Of Obama's 258,000 donors, more than 40 percent (110,000) have contributed online. This is near the 50 percent of contributions that Dean raised online, accounting for $25 million of his approximately $50 million total. The Obama campaign now has more contributors than the leading Republican presidential candidates combined. During the second quarter, Obama averaged 1,500 new donors a day. His average donation was $202, down from $247 in the first quarter, reflecting a higher number of small contributions. Skeptics who have focused on the fact that Obama's donor numbers include fans who have bought Obama swag like t-shirts and bumper stickers at rallies are missing the point. Each supporter purchasing Obama gear gets added to the campaign's e-mail list, to be hit up for future donations.

In a New York Times interview shortly after second quarter figures were released, campaign manager David Plouffe trumpeted the strengths that come from relying on a broad base of small donors instead of deep-pocketed Democratic fatcats giving a thousand or two at a pop. He estimated more than 90 percent of Obama's supporters were not yet "maxed out," and could continue contributing to the campaign. "This gives us a deep financial base that will continue to allow us to perform strongly throughout the course of the campaign," Plouffe said. "It also gives us a huge foundation of volunteers and organizational support."

When it comes to social networking sites, nobody can touch Obama's popularity on MySpace and Facebook. But Obama had a brush with MySpace controversy in early May when his campaign asserted control over a volunteer-built page that had amassed over 160,000 MySpace "friends." The page was originally created in November, 2004 by Joe Anthony, a paralegal from Los Angeles. After Obama announced for President, the number of people signing on as his friends exploded. As Anthony's workload grew, he eventually asked to be paid as a consultant. Obama's online team balked, deciding the MySpace page was a valuable campaign asset that they needed to directly control. So they appealed to MySpace, and Joe Anthony's access to the site was shut down.

The move generated waves throughout the online community. For a year and a half, Anthony had nurtured the MySpace page's growth as an unpaid volunteer. Had he been working as a consultant for Obama from the start, he undoubtedly would have been well rewarded. However, since the page was created unofficially, on his own initiative, using the valuable real estate myspace.com/barackobama, it was a form of domain name squatting. If there was no widespread interest in Obama to begin with, the page would never have attracted 160,000 friends on its own.



The Obama campaign could have avoided this episode's inevitable backlash by compensating Anthony for his past work in exchange for ceding his rights to the page. Campaign staff initially proposed such a deal, then rejected Anthony's price, claiming his request for approximately $50,000 was too high. In the end, the controversy blew over. By late July, Obama's MySpace page was back up to 150,000 friends, compared with 123,000 for Clinton and only 45,000 for Edwards.

Since the moment he announced in February before 15,000 in Springfield, Illinois, Obama has been attracting rock star-sized crowds - 10,000 in Los Angeles, an estimated 20,000 in both Austin and Atlanta. The campaign has capitalized on the candidate's drawing power and turned his rallies into pioneering, small donor fundraising events. Some of them cost as little as $5 a person, a sum Obama highlighted when he asked the audience at a Cleveland rally in March "to pony up $5, $10 for this campaign. I don’t care how poor you are, you’ve got $5." Edwards and Clinton have set up small donor event programs of their own. Edwards' is called Small Change for Big Change, and was responsible for much of his increase in contributors from 40,000 in the first quarter to 60,000 in the second.

The 45-year old Obama's groundswell of support on MySpace and Facebook (111,000 supporters on Facebook as of late July, versus Clinton's 28,000 and only 11,000 for Edwards) reflects his huge following among students and young voters. At his campaign's New England fundraising kickoff, an event held at Boston University’s Agganis Arena on April 20, supporters sold 5,700 tickets. The rally netted over $700,000, including more than $100,000 from student ticket sales, priced at $23 each. Alison Ross, a 28-year-old BU law student with no prior campaign experience, posted a link to the event on her Facebook page. Ross ended up selling 118 tickets to the kickoff. Tufts students Mitch Robinson and Dan Grant sold 250 tickets on their campus, outside the library and dining hall.

Online appeals for Obama haven't yet included pie recipes, but they have made use of traditionally gimmicky come-ons like running a contest to have dinner with the candidate. Yet the secret to Obama's netroots success is more basic. Fundamentally, the reason his online strategy is working so well is that the campaign is making real attempts to empower supporters by giving them powerful internet tools to work with. Instead of a top-down approach, one that pays lip service to empowerment, the Obama machine is going the distance to get people truly involved as donors and volunteers. Despite the flap over his MySpace page, Obama's genius has been to let go of some control.



Chris Hughes, the 23-year old Facebook co-founder, signed on at the beginning of the year to overhaul the campaign's website, and created My.BarackObama.com. So far, MyBO is delivering on its social networking promise. The site allows users to create or join online groups like "Women for Obama" or "Barack the Youth Vote," with over 5,500 created so far. Group members share blogs, and can link up with supporters in their areas to organize events or fundraisers. More than 10,000 grass-roots events have already been held. It's a souped up, in-house version of the site that originally powered Dean's rise, Meetup.com.

Most of the major presidential candidates have rolled out similar social networking tools, from McCainSpace to Edwards' One Corps, but Obama's is outperforming the rest. The site's resource center allows supporters to do everything from the low tech (download Obama flyers to print and distribute), to the high tech (turn Obama videos into DVD's). But its real strength is a series of easy-to-follow volunteer guides that instruct would-be supporters on exactly how to translate their enthusiasm for Obama into action, using step-by-step, easy-to-follow directions. How to create a group, attend or plan an event, communicate with the campaign, create a YouTube video, use MySpace and Facebook to show support for Obama, or post comments to popular Democratic blogs like DailyKos and MyDD.



Mark Wiznitzer, an Obama supporter who attended Camp Obama, a week-long training camp held the first week of June in Chicago for campaign volunteers and interns, recently posted an essay on Obama's campaign website describing some of the activities he'd been able to tap into through the campaign's online outreach. "I joined grassroots groups on www.barackobama.com that work to counter negative and disinformation in the media. I found volunteers online to help translate materials to Spanish for use with the Hispanic community. I collected signatures on a petition to put Obama on the Vermont primary ballot, and joined hundreds of other like-minded supporters in a canvas of voters in New Hampshire in mid-May."

Besides Hughes, the Obama campaign's online staff includes Scott Goodstein, who has years of experience coordinating online advocacy for non-profits, and New Media Director Joe Rospars. Rospars is himself a former Dean staffer, and founded consulting firm Blue State Digital with several other members of Dean's online team after the Dean campaign ended. The founding partners of Blue State Digital, including Rospars, were the brains behind the software that powered Dean's online fundraising and grassroots organizing. Blue State Digital now handles software development and hosting for Obama. Rospars seems to understand what not to do this time around. As he recently stated in a Wall Street Journal interview, "We don't just do technology for technology's sake. How does something help the campaign or help reach a campaign goal?"

And as Obama's fundraising numbers show, his web operation is bringing in the bucks. MyBO lets supporters create their own fundraising pages for Obama, along with a thermometer showing dollars raised and tools to create customizable e-mail pitches that promote the page. Of course, giving supporters easy-to-use internet tools is one thing, but if there's no passion for the candidate, those tools may go to waste. So far, over 9,000 supporters have bundled contributions for Obama using MyBO pages. People are enthusiastic enough about Obama to bombard their personal e-mail lists with fundraising appeals for him, and it's paying off.

One notable MyBO user is Mark Goodman, a 39-year old venture capitalist from Boston and member of Obama's national finance committee. This marks his first involvement with any political campaign, but he's been a fan ever since Obama's keynote address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention. During the first quarter of the year, Goodman raised more than $31,000 from 27 different donors. He first hit up family and friends, then sent an e-mail appeal out to the 150 names in his address book, urging those interested to visit his personal MyBo fundraising page. He spent an hour a day making follow up phone calls to the e-mail recipients. "There is no trick, no secret," he told Boston Magazine. "If you’re passionate about it, you’ve got to be articulate: communicate why you’re behind that person."

In June, Obama got an unexpected YouTube boost from a supporter's self-created video. "I Got A Crush on Obama," by Obama Girl, aka model Amber Lee Ettinger, was an immediate sensation, sparking 2.7 million views to date and global press coverage. The video shows shapely Ettinger wearing tight outfits, including a pair of red shorts marked "OBAMA" across the rear. She suggestively purrs lyrics like "You're into border security / let's break these borders between you and me," and "You tell the truth unlike the right / You can love but you can fight / You can Barack me tonight." Ettinger calls Obama's answering machine on her cell phone and leaves a message, "Hey B, it's me...if you're there pick up...I was just watching you on C-Span."



An earlier pro-Obama video on YouTube, released in March, was a parody of Apple's classic 1984 commercial with the oppressive dictator Big Brother replaced by footage of Hillary Clinton as Big Sister. It was heralded as the first viral video of the 2008 presidential race, and to date has been viewed over 4 million times on YouTube. Unlike the Obama Girl video, produced by Ben Relles, a 32-year old ad executive with no ties to the Obama campaign, the 1984 parody drew fire when it was revealed to have been created by Phil de Vellis, an employee who worked for Blue State Digital. De Vellis was fired immediately when the news hit, and Blue State Digital insisted that he had created the video on his own time, without the firm's knowledge, unsanctioned by Obama strategists.



Can Edwards Catch Up?

It may be that the Edwards staff, technically proficient and experienced with online organizing as they are from their work on Dean's campaign, aren't doing anything especially groundbreaking with their internet strategy. It's possible that the self-inflicted wounds John Edwards has suffered over supposed issues like haircuts and hedge funds have dented enthusiasm for his candidacy online, just as they've dragged down his standing in national polls. Or it could just be that Edwards is no longer the freshest face in the race. In 2008, it's Obama who's the newcomer, and the candidate most likely to inspire passionate involvement on the part of folks who have never worked on or donated to political campaigns before, whether online or off.

Ironically, only days after announcing the hire of yet another Dean campaign veteran, former political director and Joe Trippi protege Paul Blank, Edwards explicitly told reporters they should look to Dean's implosion as a reason not to count him out of the race. "Money will not decide who the nominee's going to be," Edwards said in an AP interview, spinning his lackluster recent fundraising totals. "Everyone will remember Governor Dean who out raised everyone else by more than 2-to-1 and wasn't able to win the nomination." In order to avoid Dean's fate, Edwards had better hope his campaign learns a lot more lessons fast about the perils and possibilities of campaigning in the era of YouTube and MySpace. And then he'll have to catch up to Obama, who seems to be learning pretty well on his own.

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